Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.6	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.65	2.65
	2.9	2.55	2.65	Watch
	3.1	2.55	2.65
	3.36	2.64	2.8
	3.1	2.7	2.6
	3.24	2.79	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.61)	2.64 ↓ (2.9)	2.64 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
29.9%

Draw
35%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

Paraná Clube Curitiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Brasil de Pelotas in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paraná is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
26.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.09.20	Botafogo SP - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
19.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.09.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
05.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LWWTW
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie B
14.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
09.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
04.09.20	Figueirense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
01.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.10.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
18.07.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1
07.11.17	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0
18.07.17	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1
19.08.16	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2
14.05.16	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0

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