Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Municipal das Laranjeiras (Paredes) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	16:00	Canal 11


	Paredes		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.00	6.00
	1.37	4.15	6.6
	1.33	5.44	9.97
	1.47	4.46	6	Watch
	1.27	5.35	9.85
	1.42	4.65	6.7
	1.36	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.64 ↑ (3.6)	7.42 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
67.4%

Draw
20%

Trofense
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paredes - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paredes will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matos F. (G) 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. 44. Gustavo Fernandes 13. Vigario J. 6. Val B. 10. Rodrigues D. 8. Silva D. 7. Miguel 14. Erik 11. Almara F.	31. Balde M. (G) 7. Oliveira J. 3. Lucca Carvalho 50. Silva T. 21. Oliveira T. 22. Matheus Claudino 6. Ufala S. 89. Nuninho (C) 65. Gomes A. 11. Kiki 9. Kevyn Santos
Substitutes
30. Canario F. 16. Goncalves T. (G) 23. Macedo Z. 78. Ruca 26. Santos Outeiro D. 29. Vasco Rocha 21. Veiga D. 84. Yuk J. 5. Ze Oliveira	23. Juninho 39. Kaua Souza 4. Meneses do Vale J. P. 1. Moura R. (G) 28. Nunes D. 83. Oliveira W. 25. Samuca 8. Teixeira P. 19. Weliton

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Miguel ⚽, Araujo P. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Rodrigues D. ⚽, Almara F. (A),
30', Val B. 🟨,
42', 3 - 0, Miguel ⚽, Araujo P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Val B. ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
62', Almara F. ↓, Yuk J. ↑,
62', Erik ↓, Canario F. ↑,
62', Kiki ↓, Juninho ↑,
62', Kevyn Santos ↓, Kaua Souza ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Miguel ⚽, Vasco Rocha (A),
75', Araujo P. ↓, Macedo Z. ↑,
76', Miguel ↓, Ruca ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 10th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Paredes arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Trofense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Paredes holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for Paredes in today's match, at odds of 1.42.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Paredes has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 0.8:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paredes against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Taça de Portugal
18.10.26	Paredes - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
10.10.26	Vianense - Paredes	3:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Paredes - Maria da Fonte	5:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.26	Paredes - Fafe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Varzim - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTWWW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
11.10.26	Fafe - Trofense	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Trofense - Leça	1:4 ✺
05.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
29.08.26	Varzim - Trofense	5:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Trofense - São João de Ver	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Trofense - Paredes	0:0
23.08.25	Paredes - Trofense	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.04.21	Paredes - Trofense	0:1
10.01.21	Trofense - Paredes	0:0
31.08.19	Trofense - Paredes	1:4

Paredes - Trofense