Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Paredes		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.25	17.00	Watch
	1.16	6.25	14.50
	1.18	5.75	11.50
	1.13	6.82	13.02
	1.2	5.41	14.17
	1.11	6.75	12.00
	1.16	6.32	17.20
	1.16	7.00	16.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.35)	6.32 ↑ (4.3)	14.42 ↑ (8.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
79.2%

Draw
14.5%

Maria da Fonte
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21.3%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Paredes - Maria da Fonte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 4 - 1, ⚽,
74', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Paredes arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Paredes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Paredes holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
13.09.26	Paredes - Fafe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Varzim - Paredes	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Paços de Ferreira - Paredes	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Paredes - Vitoria Guimarães B	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Paredes - Lusitânia	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWWW
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
13.09.26	Maria da Fonte - Braga B	0:4 ✺
06.09.26	Brito - Maria da Fonte	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Vinhais - Maria da Fonte	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Fafe - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Maria da Fonte - Arouca	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

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