Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 36

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Paris FC		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.6	4
	1.82	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.88	4.36
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.84	3.58	4.25	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.35)	3.62 ↑ (3.2)	4.16 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
51.6%

Draw
25.9%

Sochaux
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris FC's performance.

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Paris FC - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sochaux will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 6).

Paris FC has the most likely position - 11 (22.22%), project points - 53, currently - 48, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Sochaux has the most likely position - 6 (32.73%), project points - 56, currently - 52, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 38, very small importance 0, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2.

Recent matches Paris FC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sochaux has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paris FC will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
13.05.23	Rodez - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Paris FC - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Metz - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Paris FC - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Caen - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWL
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
13.05.23	Sochaux - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Amiens - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
01.05.23	Sochaux - Dijon	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Laval - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Sochaux - Pau	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.08.22	Sochaux - Paris FC	0:0
French Ligue 1
17.05.22	Paris FC - Sochaux	1:2
French Ligue 2
26.02.22	Paris FC - Sochaux	3:1
18.09.21	Sochaux - Paris FC	2:0
03.04.21	Sochaux - Paris FC	1:2
01.12.20	Paris FC - Sochaux	0:0
10.01.20	Sochaux - Paris FC	1:1

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