Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 31

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Sochaux		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6
	1.55	3.65	6.25
	1.55	3.99	7.01
	1.52	3.6	7
	1.55	4.05	6.05	Watch
	1.55	3.95	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.69)	3.83 ↑ (3.45)	6.4 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
60.9%

Draw
24.4%

Pau
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

27%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

26.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sochaux's performance.

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Sochaux - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: Sochaux will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 15).

Sochaux has the most likely position - 3 (35.35%), project points - 66, currently - 52, not chance of relegated, a chance of promoted (29%), a very small chance of win league (4%).

Pau has the most likely position - 15 (15.92%), project points - 43, currently - 34, a chance of relegated (28%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 33, importance 59, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Sochaux is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sochaux won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochaux won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Niort - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Bastia - Sochaux	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Sochaux - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Sochaux - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Caen - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Pau - Metz	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Pau - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Pau - Niort	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Amiens - Pau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.08.22	Pau - Sochaux	0:3
22.04.22	Pau - Sochaux	0:1
03.12.21	Sochaux - Pau	2:1
17.04.21	Sochaux - Pau	1:1
15.12.20	Pau - Sochaux	0:0

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