Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Metz		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.28	Watch
	3.21	3.75	2.31
	3	3.55	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3.27	3.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.32)	3.53 ↑ (3.4)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
30.8%

Draw
27.1%

Paris FC
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

27.8%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

28.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	40.9%	45.5%

Metz - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 24.7% – 66.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 15. Yegbe T. 4. Mboula U. 20. Deminguet J. 5. Gbamin J. 34. Mbala N. 10. Hein G. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H. (C)	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 14. Traore H. 42. Coppola D. 6. Otavio 28. De Smet T. 31. Chergui S. 23. Matondo R. 10. Kebbal I. 7. Gory A. 24. Koleosho L. 36. Immobile C. (C)
Substitutes
3. Diop M. 1. Fischer J. (G) 11. Kvilitaia G. 19. Michal L. 35. Pandore J. 70. Sarr B. 21. Stambouli B. 12. Toure A.	13. Cafaro M. 17. Camara A. 9. Geubbels W. 93. Ikone J. 4. Marchetti V. 5. Mbow M. 18. Munetsi M. 19. Sangui N. 35. Trapp K. (G)
Coaches
Tavenot B.	Kombouare A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Mboula U. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Gory A. ⚽,
30', Diallo H. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,
31', 1 - 1, Kvilitaia G. ⚽, Sane S. (A),
38', Kouao K. 🟨,
45+1', Kebbal I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Mboula U. ↓, Sarr B. ↑,
62', Gory A. 🟨,
66', Gory A. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Otavio ⚽, Immobile C. (A),
74', Yegbe T. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
75', Mbala N. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
75', Deminguet J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
77', Immobile C. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
77', Traore H. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
88', Koleosho L. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
88', De Smet T. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
89', 1 - 3, Kebbal I. ⚽, Coppola D. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3.

Recent form of Metz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paris FC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paris FC might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Metz: Ba O. (Injury) Colin M. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Munongo B. (Knee Injury) Traore B. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Krasso J. (Knee Injury) Lees-Melou P. (Yellow Cards) Riou R. (Injury) Simon M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Metz: Abuashvili G. (Inactive) Guerti I. (Injury) Sarr B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Cafaro M. (Inactive) De Smet T. (Inactive) Kolodziejczak T. (Inactive) Lopez J. (Back Injury) Marchetti V. (Lower Back Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Metz won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
10.04.26	Olympique Marseille - Metz	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rennes - Metz	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Metz - Toulouse	3:4 ✺
08.03.26	Lens - Metz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTLL
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
10.04.26	Paris FC - Monaco	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Lorient - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lyon - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
31.08.25	Paris FC - Metz	3:2
French Ligue 2
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1
14.09.24	Paris FC - Metz	1:2
29.04.23	Metz - Paris FC	1:1
12.11.22	Paris FC - Metz	1:4
22.02.19	Metz - Paris FC	2:0
22.09.18	Paris FC - Metz	2:1

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