Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Paul-Lignon (Rodez)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Rodez		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.35
	3.05	3.5	2.19
	3.31	3.45	2.25
	3.16	3.47	2.17	Watch
	3	3.2	2.3
	3.25	3.42	2.22	Watch
	3.05	3.5	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (3.02)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	2.23 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodez
30.2%

Draw
27.6%

Paris FC
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Paris FC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The ML Model estimate for Rodez aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Rodez - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 25. Galves N. 6. Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 2. Vandenabeele E. 15. Cissokho T. 28. Abdallah A. (C) 10. Taibi W. 5. Cadiou N. 27. Trouillet A. 18. Balde I. 9. Nkada T.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 31. Chergui S. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 28. De Smet T. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. 7. Gory A. 29. Hamel P. 13. Cafaro M. 12. Dicko N.
Substitutes
22. Bentayeb T. 11. Bouchouari M. 3. Lipinski R. 19. Mazou-Sacko D. 16. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 26. Verdier Y. 8. Younoussa W.	8. Doucet L. 19. Kante M. 11. Krasso J. 20. Lopez J. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G) 39. Tourraine M.
Coaches
Santini D.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Vandenabeele E. ↓, Lipinski R. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Marchetti V. ⚽,
41', Diaw M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Balde I. 🟨,
59', Dicko N. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
59', Cafaro M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
64', Balde I. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
65', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
65', Younoussa W. 🟨,
71', Gory A. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
71', Marchetti V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
76', Lopez J. 🟨,
77', Hamel P. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽,
81', Taibi W. ↓, Bouchouari M. ↑,
81', Abdallah A. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
83', Doucet L. 🟨,
90+4', Lopez J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rodez won 2.

Recent matches Rodez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paris FC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rodez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J. (Injury) Cibois S. (Injury) Mambo S. (Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Camara A. (Yellow Cards) Gueye L. (Knee Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Krasso J. (Injury) Pembele A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Paris FC: Gory A. (Injury) Sissoko O. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Rodez won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Rodez won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
18.04.25	Laval - Rodez	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Rodez - Caen	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Rodez - Martigues	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Annecy - Rodez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWTT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
19.04.25	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Grenoble - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Paris FC - Clermont	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Paris FC - Caen	4:2 ✺
15.03.25	Laval - Paris FC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.11.24	Paris FC - Rodez	3:3
French Ligue 1
21.05.24	Rodez - Paris FC	3:2 penalties
French Ligue 2
23.04.24	Rodez - Paris FC	1:0
05.12.23	Paris FC - Rodez	2:0
13.05.23	Rodez - Paris FC	0:0
17.09.22	Paris FC - Rodez	1:2
16.04.22	Rodez - Paris FC	0:1

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