Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Rose Bowl (Pasadena, CA)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3, DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cape-verde	TCV Internacional
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Comoros	ORTC
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, Molotov TV, New World TV, TF 1, TF1+
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Duna World / M4 Sport +
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM+, TVM News+
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	TV Miramar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, TVI Player
Romania	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Serbia	DAZN
Seyshelles	SBC 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco, Telecinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1
Usa	DAZN USA, TNT, truTV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24, TyC Sports Internacional


	Paris Saint-Germain		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	3.4	Watch
	2	3.6	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.7
	2.06	3.63	3.7
	1.86	3.89	3.72
	2.15	3.6	2.5
	2.02	3.78	3.69
	1.95	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
47.2%

Draw
25.8%

Atlético Madrid
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	17.7%	10.1%

Paris Saint Germain - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 56 - 71.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 8 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 61.8% – 81.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - PSG (1.29) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 92.9%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +0.5 - Atlético (1.82) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - PSG (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Atlético (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 27 - 69.2%). Atlético (votes: 10 - 25.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 87. Neves J. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 14. Doue D. 9. Ramos G. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.	13. Oblak J. (C) 14. Llorente M. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 21. Galan J. 22. Simeone G. 5. de Paul R. 8. Barrios P. 12. Lino S. 19. Alvarez J. 7. Griezmann A.
Substitutes
29. Barcola B. 4. Beraldo L. 10. Dembele O. 20. Gabriel Moscardo 21. Hernandez L. 43. Kamara N. 3. Kimpembe P. 19. Lee Kang-In 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 39. Safonov M. (G) 80. Tenas A. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W.	3. Azpilicueta C. 10. Correa A. 4. Gallagher C. 2. Gimenez J. M. 31. Gomis A. (G) 6. Koke 27. Kostis I. 11. Lemar T. 23. Mandava R. 18. Martin C. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 9. Sorloth A. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Ruiz F. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
20', Lenglet C. 🟨,
25', Le Normand R. 🟨,
28', Ruiz F. 🟨,
29', Simeone G. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Vitinha ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lino S. ↓, Koke ↑,
48', Koke 🟨,
61', Marquinhos 🟨,
62', Galan J. ↓, Mandava R. ↑,
62', de Paul R. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
62', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
63', Correa A. 🟨,
64', Mandava R. 🟨,
66', Ramos G. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
70', Barrios P. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
72', Ruiz F. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
72', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
78', Lenglet C. 🟨,
79', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
80', Doue D. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Mayulu S. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 0, Lee Kang-In (Pen),

Preview

PSG is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.

PSG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There are questionable in PSG: Barcola B. (Knee Injury) Dembele O. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
31.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan	5:0 ✺
Coupe De France
24.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Reims	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
25.05.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
18.05.25	Atlético Madrid - Betis	4:1 ✺
15.05.25	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:0 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid	1:2
International Champions Cup
30.07.18	Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid	3:2

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