Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Dibox, DirecTV Sports, Flow Eventos
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Belarus	Sport TV
Bolivia	Unitel
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	Win play
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, DirecTV Sports, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Finland	Disney+, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hungary	Selekt, Sport 1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Disney+
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DirecTV Sports, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	3Cat, ETB, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, RTVE Play, TV3, TV3, TVE La 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	ITV 4, ITV X, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Flow
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter, Meridiano, Venevision

	Atlético Madrid		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.7	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4.15
	1.89	3.85	4.37
	1.89	3.85	4.14
	1.8	3.6	4.2
	1.83	3.78	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.78)	3.75 ↑ (3.61)	4.27 ↓ (4.44)

• The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

• The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

Current Win Probability

Initial Probability

Our Initial ML Estimation

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Who will win by Users?

Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

• AH -0.5 - Atlético (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
• TQ, OT - Atlético (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
• O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musso J. (G) 16. Molina N. 18. Pubill M. 24. Le Normand R.   3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 14. Llorente M.   6. Koke (C) 22. Lookman A.   7. Griezmann A. 19. Alvarez J.	13. Marrero U. (G)   2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S.   8. Turrientes B. 18. Soler C.   7. Barrenetxea A. 24. Sucic L. 11. Guedes G. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
11. Almada T. 10. Baena A.   8. Barrios P. 32. Bonar J.   5. Cardoso J. 23. Gonzalez N. 15. Lenglet C.   4. Mendoza R. 13. Oblak J. (G)   9. Sorloth A. 21. Vargas O.	38. Beitia L.   6. Elustondo A.   4. Gorrotxategi J. 12. Herrera Y. 14. Kubo T. 15. Marin P. 23. Mendez B.   3. Munoz A.   9. Oskarsson O.   1. Remiro A. (G) 22. Wesley
Coaches
Simeone D.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

• 1st Half (1 - 2)
• 1', 0 - 1, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
• 18', 1 - 1, Lookman A. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
• 30', Oyarzabal M. 🟨,
• 33', Le Normand R. 🟨,
• 43', Musso J. 🟨,
• 45+1', 1 - 2, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
• 2nd Half (1 - 0)
• 62', Lookman A. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
• 62', Ruggeri M. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
• 68', Turrientes B. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
• 68', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
• 70', Simeone G. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
• 70', Griezmann A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
• 78', Guedes G. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
• 78', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
• 78', Molina N. ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
• 83', 2 - 2, Alvarez J. ⚽, Almada T. (A),
• 88', Gomez S. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
• Extra Time (0 - 0)
• 99', Llorente M. ↓, Lenglet C. ↑,
• 113', Aramburu J. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
• 120', Gorrotxategi J. 🟨,
• 120+1', Elustondo A. 🟨,
• Penalties (3 - 4)
• 1, Sorloth A. (Penalty Awarded),
• 1, Soler C. (Penalty Awarded),
• 2, Alvarez J. (Penalty Awarded),
• 2, Oskarsson O. (Penalty Awarded),
• 3, Gonzalez N. (Penalty Awarded),
• 3, Sucic L. (Penalty Awarded),
• 4, Almada T. (Penalty Awarded),
• 4, Munoz A. (Penalty Awarded),
• 5, Baena A. (Penalty Awarded),
• 5, Marin P. (Penalty Awarded),

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