Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
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Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
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Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
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Kenya	Gotv
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Strasbourg		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.65	Watch
	4.65	4.25	1.65	Watch
	5.05	4.4	1.66
	5.24	4.59	1.61	Watch
	4.75	4	1.62
	5.13	4.4	1.69	Watch
	5	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.94 ↓ (5.12)	4.28 ↓ (4.42)	1.65 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
19.4%

Draw
22.4%

Paris Saint-Germain
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

21.4%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

17.9%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	9.5%	76.2%

Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). PSG will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 63.3% – 89.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 19 - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 16 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +0.5 - Strasbourg (2.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 26.7%). PSG (votes: 11 - 73.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 6. Doukoure I. 23. Sarr M. (C) 7. Moreira D. 42. Ouattara A. 29. El Mourabet S. 3. Chilwell B. 20. Godo M. 19. Enciso J. 9. Panichelli J.	39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 87. Neves J. 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 24. Hogsberg L. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 28. Noubissie T. 2. Omobamidele A. 80. Yassine G.	4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 27. Fernandez D. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 9. Ramos G. 6. Zabarnyi I.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Panichelli J. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 0 - 1, Mayulu S. ⚽, Barcola B. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Doue G. ⚽, Chilwell B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mbaye I. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
59', Mayulu S. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
60', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
72', Enciso J. ↓, Luis R. ↑,
75', Hakimi A. 🟥,
81', 1 - 2, Mendes N. ⚽, Zaire-Emery W. (A),
82', Chilwell B. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
90+4', El Mourabet S. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
90+6', Moreira D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.

Strasbourg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

PSG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Barco V. (Yellow Cards) Sow S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Kvaratskhelia K. (Ankle Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Amougou M. (Ankle Injury) Emegha E. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Lee Kang-In (Thigh Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:47. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.91% Strasbourg: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Lille - Strasbourg	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Strasbourg - Metz	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
10.01.26	Avranches - Strasbourg	0:6 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Nice - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWTW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.01.26	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
12.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3
03.05.25	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1
19.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	4:2
02.02.24	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
21.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:0
27.05.23	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
28.12.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	2:1

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