Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	12:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	17:15	DAZN
Belgium	17:15	DAZN 1
Bolivia	11:15	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:15	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	12:15	Xsports
Cambodia	22:15	MyTV
Canada	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	23:15	Migu
Croatia	17:15	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	17:15	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	17:15	Viaplay
Ecuador	10:15	ESPN 4
Finland	18:15	Viaplay
France	17:15	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	17:15	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	23:15	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	22:15	Vidio
Israel	18:15	5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	17:15	Ligue 1+
Japan	00:15	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:15	Setanta Sports
Mexico	09:15	FOX One
Netherlands	17:15	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	17:15	MaxTV GO
Norway	17:15	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	12:15	ESPN 4
Peru	10:15	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	17:15	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	18:15	Voyo
Serbia	17:15	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	17:15	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	17:15	Arena Sport 4
South Korea	00:15	Coupang Play
Spain	17:15	DAZN Espana
Sweden	17:15	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	17:15	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	18:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
Ukraine	18:15	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	16:15	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	12:15	Disney+
Usa	11:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	11:15	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	22:15	ON Plus
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Strasbourg		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	5.50	5.25	1.45	Watch
	5.75	5.00	1.47
	6.00	4.80	1.43	Watch
	6.34	5.30	1.47
	6.5	5.1	1.46	Watch
	6.10	5.20	1.45
	5.90	5.35	1.46	Watch
	6.00	5.40	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↓ (6.2)	5.18 ↑ (4.96)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
15.9%

Draw
18.5%

Paris Saint-Germain
65.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.3%

19.1%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

17.8%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Strasbourg (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - PSG (1.45) (votes: 95%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 25%). PSG (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jorgensen F. (C) 16. Antwi G. 4. Mitchell J. 31. Coulibaly K. 36. Oso 14. Essugo D. 21. Demba P. 80. Yassine G. 10. Reyna G. 19. Balde F. 40. Harder C.	39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 21. Hernandez L. 12. Digne L. 87. Neves J. 27. Fernandez D. 4. Beraldo L. 11. Akliouche M. 9. Torres F. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 43. Becker Y. 35. Dieme Y. 29. El Mourabet S. 24. Hogsberg L. 28. Noubissie T. 30. Ortega J. 12. Piekutowski M. (G) 23. Sousa D.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 22. Godts M. 2. Hakimi A. 25. Mendes N. 51. Pacho W. 8. Ruiz F. 17. Vitinha
Coaches
Oliveira H.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Reyna G. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', Digne L. ↓, Mendes N. ↑,
54', Beraldo L. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
54', Fernandez D. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
60', Balde F. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
63', Neves J. ↓, Hakimi A. ↑,
63', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
72', Dembele O. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Demba P. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
76', Harder C. 🟨,
77', 1 - 1, Zabarnyi I. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
78', Essugo D. 🟨,
83', Yassine G. ↓, Dieme Y. ↑,
83', Harder C. ↓, Ortega J. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Dembele O. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Doue D. ⚽, Torres F. (A),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.

Strasbourg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

PSG is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

PSG may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to PSG as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Inactive) Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Nanasi S. (Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for PSG: Longoni A. (Injury) Mayulu S. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:49 (averaging 1.3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Strasbourg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:19 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	8	5	2	1	16:9	7	17
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 79.13% Strasbourg: 0.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Paris Saint-Germain - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.68%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Slovan Bratislava	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3
03.05.25	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1
19.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	4:2
02.02.24	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
21.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:0
27.05.23	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1

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