Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	23:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, VTM 2
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	16:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1
Hungary	21:00	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport 2
India	00:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	22:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	RTK 1
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	HBO Max
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 2
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, RTS 2
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Nova Sport 3, Voyo
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	04:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN


	Manchester City		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.2	3.4
	1.95	4.10	3.30
	1.88	4.3	3.55
	1.95	4.36	3.65
	1.96	4.21	3.42	Watch
	1.92	4.3	3.55
	1.99	4.26	3.29
	1.85	4.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.28)	4.22 ↑ (3.97)	3.45 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manchester City
49.6%

Draw
22.6%

Paris Saint-Germain
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

23.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester City's performance.

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris Saint-Germain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris Saint-Germain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.8%	19%	11.1%

Manchester City - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 44 - 69.8%). PSG will win (votes: 7 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 58.5% – 81.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 4 - 50%). PSG (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.38) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Man City (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - PSG (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Cards O/U 3 - over (1.88) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 5 - 50%). PSG (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Donnarumma G. (G) 45. Khusanov A. 3. Dias R. (C) 6. Guehi M. 24. Gvardiol J. 5. Anderson E. 17. Fernandez E. 42. Semenyo A. 10. Cherki R. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.	39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 11. Akliouche M. 10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D.
Substitutes
21. Ait-Nouri R. 37. Allan Elias 13. Bettinelli M. (G) 32. Bouaddi A. 47. Foden P. 8. Kovacic M. 82. Lewis R. 7. Ndiaye I. 27. Nunes M. 33. O'Reilly N. 28. Rulli G. (G) 22. Vitor Reis	4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Digne L. 27. Fernandez D. 22. Godts M. 21. Hernandez L. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 80. Mouak A. (G) 47. Ndjantou Q. 87. Neves J. 9. Torres F. 6. Zabarnyi I.
Coaches
Maresca E.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Doue D. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Dembele O. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
32', 0 - 3, Vitinha ⚽, Zaire-Emery W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cherki R. ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
46', Dias R. ↓, Nunes M. ↑,
46', Doku J. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Haaland E. ⚽, Ndiaye I. (A),
61', Semenyo A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 4, Akliouche M. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
66', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
69', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
75', 2 - 4, Haaland E. ⚽, Bouaddi A. (A),
76', Dembele O. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
76', Akliouche M. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
84', Ruiz F. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
84', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
90', Torres F. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Fernandez E. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 3.

Man City is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

PSG shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Man City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Man City holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for PSG: Longoni A. (Injury) Mayulu S. (Groin Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Man City has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Man City against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 1.7:0.3 per game).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	3	3	0	0	14:5	9	9
10	Manchester City	3	2	0	1	9:5	4	6

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

PSG: 16.99% Manchester City: 7.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English Premier League
11.10.26	Liverpool - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	Manchester City - Sunderland	5:3 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.26	Manchester City - Norwich City	5:0 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Manchester United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.09.26	Porto - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Slovan Bratislava	6:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	4:2
24.11.21	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1
28.09.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	2:0
04.05.21	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:0
28.04.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	1:2
12.04.16	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0
06.04.16	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester City	2:2

Upcoming Matches