Match Info

Premiership - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline)

Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	SPOTV Asia
Indonesia	SPOTV
Mongolia	SPOTV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	SPOTV
Scotland	BBC Scotland
South-korea	SPOTV
Thailand	SPOTV
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Dunfermline Athletic		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.68	3.2	2.58	Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.73
	2.78	2.85	2.78	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.73	3.08	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (2.77)	3.12 ↑ (3.11)	2.63 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
34.3%

Draw
30%

Partick Thistle
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dunfermline will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Partick will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oxborough A. (G) 11. Kearney S. 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. (C) 3. Ngwenya K. 47. Fraser R. 38. Morrison C. 8. Gilmour C. 14. Amade A. 10. Todd M. 20. Kane Ch. 26. Tod A.	12. Clarke J. (G) 24. McPherson B. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 20. O'Reilly D. 3. Reading P. 64. Letsosa T. 8. Smyth O. 26. Stanway B. 10. Chalmers L. 32. Watt T. 21. Fitzpatrick A.
Substitutes
4. Benedictus K. 22. Bray K. 33. Cooper J. 34. Fyfe L. 5. Hamilton C. 16. MacLeod R. 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 40. Terrell B. (G) 31. Tod J.	1. Budinauckas L. (G) 14. Crawford R. 2. Logan C. 22. Loughrey C. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 19. McBeth L. 9. Samuel A. 30. Taylor F. 6. Turner K.
Coaches
Lennon N.	Wilson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Morrison C. ⚽, Todd M. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Stanway B. ⚽, Fitzpatrick A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Smyth O. 🟨,
65', Watt T. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
66', McPherson B. ↓, Logan C. ↑,
66', Letsosa T. ↓, Crawford R. ↑,
70', Kane Ch. ↓, Fyfe L. ↑,
79', Chalmers L. ↓, Mackay-Steven G. ↑,
86', Tod A. ↓, Oakley-Boothe T. ↑,
86', Stanway B. ↓, Taylor F. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)

Partick is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Partick may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There are questionable in Dunfermline: Thomas O. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunfermline won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 8.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	9	5	3	1	10:3	7	18
6	Dunfermline	8	3	4	1	7:5	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Dunfermline Athletic - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.33%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Partick Thistle - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.01%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
08.05.26	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
05.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Dunfermline Athletic - St. Johnstone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTWL
- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
01.05.26	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Airdrieonians - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
11.04.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
24.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	2:2
25.11.25	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
27.09.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:2
19.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:0
04.01.25	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	1:4
02.11.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:1

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