Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: East End Park (Dunfermline) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stuart P. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	19:45	SPFL Player


	Dunfermline Athletic		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.38
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.8	3.15	2.38	Watch
	3	3.3	2.53
	2.93	3.14	2.48	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.45
	2.82	3.05	2.36	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.6)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.41 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunfermline Athletic
32.6%

Draw
29.2%

Partick Thistle
38.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

28.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Partick will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oxborough A. (G) 24. Lobban D. 25. Donnelly A. 6. Abdulai N. 47. Fraser R. (C) 22. Bray K. 19. Oyirwoth A. 14. Amade A. 16. MacLeod R. 99. Adams O. 26. Tod A.	1. Budinauckas L. (G) 24. McPherson B. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 22. Loughrey C. 3. Reading P. 8. Smyth O. 6. Dempsey B. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 26. Stanway B. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 32. Watt T.
Substitutes
33. Cooper J. 18. Corbally K. 12. Dibaga M. (G) 8. Gilmour C. 11. Kearney S. 7. Morrison C. 10. Shaw O. 17. Thomas O. 3. Tod J.	14. Crawford R. 7. Drozd S. 10. Henderson E. 17. Ingram E. 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 12. McFarlane L. (G) 20. O'Reilly D. 9. Samuel A.
Coaches
Lennon N.	Wilson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Watt T. ⚽, Fitzpatrick A. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Tod A. ⚽, Adams O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Loughrey C. ↓, O'Reilly D. ↑,
58', Mackay-Steven G. ↓, Drozd S. ↑,
62', Ashcroft L. 🟨,
64', Stanway B. ↓, Samuel A. ↑,
68', Bray K. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,
68', MacLeod R. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
79', Watt T. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
79', Smyth O. ↓, Crawford R. ↑,
82', Lobban D. 🟨,
84', Amade A. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
84', Adams O. ↓, Gilmour C. ↑,
90', Oyirwoth A. ↓, Shaw O. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline won 0.

In recent outings, Dunfermline has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Partick shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dunfermline may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dunfermline has recorded 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:28 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dunfermline against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 9:13 goals (averaging 1:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Partick Thistle	12	7	4	1	15:4	11	25
4	Dunfermline	12	5	6	1	10:6	4	21

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 9.27%

Last Results with these Odds

Dunfermline Athletic - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.89%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Partick Thistle - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.62%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
17.10.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Ayr United - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Aberdeen	1:4 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
19.09.26	Greenock Morton - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLWW
- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
16.10.26	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
15.05.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1
12.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:1
11.04.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
24.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	2:2
25.11.25	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
27.09.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:2
19.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:0

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