Match Info

Date: 14 January 2022, Friday


	Partick Thistle		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.2
	2.8	3.1	2.4
	2.95	3.05	2.38	Watch
	3.1	3	2.31
	3.31	3.14	2.36
	3.1	3	2.25	Watch
	3.14	3.24	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.31)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.32 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
30.2%

Draw
29.9%

Kilmarnock
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partick Thistle's form might have worsened.

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kilmarnock's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (+24.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partick Thistle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kilmarnock, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Partick Thistle - Kilmarnock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Kilmarnock have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Partick won 4 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Partick won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
08.01.22	Hamilton Academical - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
18.12.21	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
11.12.21	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	0:2 ✺
04.12.21	Queen of the South - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.21	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTW
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Football Championship
08.01.22	Queen of the South - Kilmarnock	0:2 ✺
29.12.21	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
26.12.21	Hamilton Academical - Kilmarnock	2:3 ✺
11.12.21	Raith Rovers - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
03.12.21	Inverness - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
06.11.21	Kilmarnock - Partick Thistle	0:1
18.09.21	Partick Thistle - Kilmarnock	0:2
Scottish Premier League
07.04.18	Partick Thistle - Kilmarnock	0:1
09.12.17	Kilmarnock - Partick Thistle	5:1
14.10.17	Partick Thistle - Kilmarnock	0:2
18.03.17	Kilmarnock - Partick Thistle	1:1
31.12.16	Partick Thistle - Kilmarnock	0:0

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