Match Info

Date: 29 December 2021, Wednesday


	Kilmarnock		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6	Watch
	1.55	4	5.25
	1.57	3.7	5.4	Watch
	1.51	3.85	6
	1.51	4.13	6.82
	1.5	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.05	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	3.9 ↑ (3.81)	6.07 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilmarnock
60.9%

Draw
23.8%

Greenock Morton
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

24.6%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

20.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kilmarnock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Recent matches Kilmarnock is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Greenock is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kilmarnock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kilmarnock have a series of guest games.

In this match Kilmarnock is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kilmarnock won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kilmarnock won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Football Championship
26.12.21	Hamilton Academical - Kilmarnock	2:3 ✺
11.12.21	Raith Rovers - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
03.12.21	Inverness - Kilmarnock	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
30.11.21	Hamilton Academical - Kilmarnock	2:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
27.11.21	Queens Park - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
18.12.21	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
11.12.21	Greenock Morton - Inverness	1:6 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.12.21	Greenock Morton - Inverness	2:1 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.12.21	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
01.12.21	Queen of the South - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
13.11.21	Greenock Morton - Kilmarnock	0:2
11.09.21	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	1:0
Scottish League Cup
20.07.21	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	2:1 penalties
23.07.16	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	0:2
Club Friendly
16.07.12	Greenock Morton - Kilmarnock	N/A

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