Match Info

Premiership - Relegation - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Firhill Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	Match 4
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	Partick Thistle		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.4	4.2
	1.95	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.96	3.42	4.41
	2.20	2.58	4.42	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.9
	1.91	3.25	4.24	Watch
	2.03	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.03)	3.25 ↓ (3.6)	4.1 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
47.9%

Draw
29.1%

Dunfermline Athletic
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: Partick Thistle will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Clarke J. (G) 24. McPherson B. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 20. O'Reilly D. 3. Reading P. 14. Crawford R. 8. Smyth O. 26. Stanway B. 10. Chalmers L. 9. Samuel A. 21. Fitzpatrick A.	40. Terrell B. (G) 11. Kearney S. 2. Chilokoa-Mullen J. (C) 3. Ngwenya K. 47. Fraser R. 38. Morrison C. 8. Gilmour C. 14. Amade A. 10. Todd M. 20. Kane Ch. 26. Tod A.
Substitutes
1. Budinauckas L. (G) 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 22. Loughrey C. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 19. McBeth L. 30. Taylor F. 6. Turner K. 32. Watt T.	18. Abdulai N. 4. Benedictus K. 22. Bray K. 33. Cooper J. 34. Fyfe L. 5. Hamilton C. 1. Mehmet D. (G) 35. Oakley-Boothe T. 31. Tod J.
Coaches
Wilson M.	Lennon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Gilmour C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Crawford R. ↓, Watt T. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Chalmers L. ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
61', Amade A. ↓, Abdulai N. ↑,
62', Kane Ch. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
63', O'Reilly D. ↓, Loughrey C. ↑,
73', McPherson B. ↓, Logan C. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Samuel A. ⚽, Chalmers L. (A),
78', Todd M. ↓, Tod J. ↑,
83', Loughrey C. 🟨,
84', Kearney S. ↓, Fyfe L. ↑,
90', Fitzpatrick A. ↓, Letsosa T. ↑,
90+3', Abdulai N. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Partick is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)

Dunfermline is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 3.

In recent matches, Partick has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dunfermline is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dunfermline may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Partick is a strong favorite.

There are questionable in Dunfermline: Thomas O. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Partick won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 8.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	9	5	3	1	10:3	7	18
6	Dunfermline	8	3	4	1	7:5	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Partick Thistle - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 47.34%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Dunfermline Athletic - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 25.97%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
12.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Airdrieonians - Partick Thistle	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTTW
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Football Championship
12.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Arbroath - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
05.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Queens Park - Dunfermline Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
12.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:1
11.04.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
24.02.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	2:2
25.11.25	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
27.09.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:2
19.04.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:0
04.01.25	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	1:4

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