Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Inverness		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2	Watch
	3.3	3.25	1.98
	3.6	3.15	1.95
	3.2	3.3	2.07
	3.59	3.56	2.06
				Watch
	3.52	3.52	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.05)	3.37 ↑ (3.27)	2.03 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
27.2%

Draw
27.4%

Kilmarnock
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

27.1%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Inverness - Kilmarnock Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kilmarnock: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inverness won 3.

Recent matches Inverness is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kilmarnock is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Kilmarnock will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Inverness won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Inverness won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
04.03.23	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Dundee - Inverness	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Inverness - Hamilton Academical	0:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
11.02.23	Livingston - Inverness	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WTLLW
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Premier League
04.03.23	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
25.02.23	Kilmarnock - Motherwell	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hibernian - Kilmarnock	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
11.02.23	Dundee United - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
04.02.23	Livingston - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
15.04.22	Inverness - Kilmarnock	2:1
29.01.22	Kilmarnock - Inverness	1:0
03.12.21	Inverness - Kilmarnock	1:0
28.08.21	Kilmarnock - Inverness	0:1
Scottish Premier League
13.05.17	Kilmarnock - Inverness	2:1
01.04.17	Inverness - Kilmarnock	1:1
17.12.16	Kilmarnock - Inverness	1:1

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