What is the expert prediction for Partick Thistle vs Livingston?

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Partick Thistle vs Livingston Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, August 07, 2026)

Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Firhill Stadium (Glasgow)

Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, PTFC TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Partick Thistle		Livingston

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.20	2.90
	2.25	3.25	2.70
	2.33	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.49	3.45	2.99
	2.33	3.24	3.07	Watch
	2.40	3.15	2.95
	2.36	3.04	2.88	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.45)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)	2.9 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partick Thistle
39.4%

Draw
28.7%

Livingston
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. McFarlane L. (G) 24. McPherson B. 22. Loughrey C. 20. O'Reilly D. (C) 3. Reading P. 64. Letsosa T. 8. Smyth O. 7. Drozd S. 14. Crawford R. 9. Samuel A. 21. Fitzpatrick A.	28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 12. Robertson M. 3. Fati B. 8. Pittman S. 15. MacPherson C. 16. Palmer C. 7. Sinclair T. 9. Muirhead R. (C) 27. Carey G.
Substitutes
1. Budinauckas L. (G) 6. Dempsey B. 25. Falconer M. 10. Henderson E. 37. Horn T. 2. Logan C. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 26. Stanway B. 32. Watt T.	25. Anderson B. 36. Culbert S. 6. Denholm A. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 5. McGowan R. 39. Polworth L. 19. van Hoeven B. 4. Wilkie J.
Coaches
Wilson M.	Whelan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Crawford R. ⚽, McPherson B. (A),
32', Crawford R. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, MacPherson C. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Carey G. ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
50', MacPherson C. 🟨,
54', Robertson M. 🟨,
57', O'Reilly D. 🟨,
58', Robertson M. ↓, McGowan R. ↑,
58', Muirhead R. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
59', Pittman S. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
61', Crawford R. ↓, Stanway B. ↑,
69', Samuel A. ↓, Watt T. ↑,
69', Fitzpatrick A. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
78', MacPherson C. ↓, Culbert S. ↑,
79', McPherson B. ↓, Logan C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partick won 2.

Partick is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Livingston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Livingston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Partick won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Partick won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Partick Thistle	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Livingston	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Last Results with these Odds

Partick Thistle - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.08%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Livingston - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.85%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	Partick Thistle - Stenhousemuir	2:3 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 penalties ✺
14.07.26	Forfar Athletic - Partick Thistle	0:4 ✺
11.07.26	Partick Thistle - Brechin City	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Livingston - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Stenhousemuir - Livingston	1:0 penalties ✺
21.07.26	Livingston - Forfar Athletic	8:0 ✺
18.07.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 penalties ✺
14.07.26	Brechin City - Livingston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
18.07.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 penalties
Scottish Premier League
16.05.25	Livingston - Partick Thistle	2:0
13.05.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	0:2
Scottish Football Championship
02.05.25	Livingston - Partick Thistle	0:1
28.02.25	Partick Thistle - Livingston	1:1
13.12.24	Livingston - Partick Thistle	2:0
05.10.24	Partick Thistle - Livingston	0:0

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