Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadion Partizana (Belgrade)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Partizan		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.7	2.3
	2.85	3.75	2.25
	2.95	3.77	2.24
	2.86	3.84	2.2
	2.7	3.6	2.15
	2.91	3.8	2.25
	2.85	3.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.6)	3.7 ↑ (3.52)	2.24 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan
32.9%

Draw
25.3%

Lugano
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	35.5%	41.9%

Partizan - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Lugano will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 22.2% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 25. De Medina N. 6. Markovic S. (C) 18. Mujakic N. 4. Jurcevic M. 33. Arriaga K. 29. Zahid G. 7. Severina X. 15. Kalulu A. 39. Ibrahim Z. 11. Saldanha	1. Saipi A. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 6. Papadopoulos A. 22. El Wafi A. 23. Valenzuela M. 29. Belhadj M. 8. Grgic A. (C) 31. Aliseda I. 25. Bislimi U. 21. Cimignani Y. 93. Przybylko K.
Substitutes
5. Antic N. 26. Filipovic A. 77. Goh Young-Jun 20. Grimaldo J. 9. Jovanovic D. 31. Krunic M. (G) 50. Lazarevic M. 10. Natcho B. 23. Nikolic N. 16. Owusu L. 19. Scekic A. 43. Trifunovic N.	2. Brault-Guillard Z. 27. Dos Santos D. 20. Doumbia O. 5. Hajdari A. 7. Macek R. 18. Mahou H. 17. Mai L. 26. Marques M. 99. Mina D. (G) 58. Osigwe S. (G) 9. Vladi S.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ibrahim Z. 🟨,
35', Bislimi U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ibrahim Z. ↓, Goh Young-Jun ↑,
55', Przybylko K. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
58', Kalulu A. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
58', Severina X. ↓, Grimaldo J. ↑,
68', Cimignani Y. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
68', Belhadj M. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
68', Aliseda I. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Zanotti M. ⚽, Vladi S. (A),
74', Saldanha ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
79', Zahid G. ↓, Nikolic N. ↑,
80', Bislimi U. ↓, Macek R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Partizan
Serbian Superliga
04.08.24	Partizan - Železničar Pančevo	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Partizan - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
Serbian Superliga
27.07.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Partizan	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Partizan	6:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
19.07.24	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
03.08.24	Lugano - Servette	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.24	Fenerbahçe - Lugano	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
27.07.24	Basel - Lugano	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Lugano - Fenerbahçe	3:4 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.07.24	Lugano - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW

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