Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Patacona		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.7	1.44
	5.6	3.65	1.55
	5.08	3.64	1.62	Watch
	6.02	3.56	1.61
	5.6	3.65	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↓ (7.32)	3.64 ↓ (4.2)	1.55 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patacona
15.9%

Draw
25.2%

La Nucía
58.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.4%

21.6%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

21.1%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patacona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Nucía might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Nucía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patacona - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Patacona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Nucía is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match La Nucía is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patacona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Patacona	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Patacona - Soneja	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Patacona - Torrellano	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Patacona	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Patacona - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLLTT
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.03.25	La Nucía - Utiel	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	La Nucía - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Soneja - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	La Nucía - Castellon B	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Torrellano - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
18.12.24	La Nucía - Patacona	3:0

Patacona - La Nucía