Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Rayo Ibense		Patacona

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	2.87
	2.2	3.25	2.95
	2.23	3.22	2.95
	2.17	3.47	2.96	Watch
	2.16	3.38	2.95
	2.2	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)	3.3 (3.3)	2.94 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Ibense
41.5%

Draw
27.6%

Patacona
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

20.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Ibense's form might have worsened.

Patacona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Patacona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Ibense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Rayo Ibense - Patacona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Rayo Ibense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rayo Ibense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rayo Ibense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Ibense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.03.25	La Nucía - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rayo Ibense - Utiel	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Soneja	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Castellon B - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
08.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Torrellano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTLW
- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.03.25	Patacona - Soneja	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Patacona - Torrellano	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Patacona	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Patacona - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Patacona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.03.24	Patacona - Rayo Ibense	0:1
14.10.23	Rayo Ibense - Patacona	0:1
23.04.23	Rayo Ibense - Patacona	2:3
07.01.23	Patacona - Rayo Ibense	1:0

Rayo Ibense - Patacona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide