Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday


	Patrocinense		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.9	4
	1.92	2.82	4.34
	1.87	3.08	4.4
	1.95	2.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	4.24 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrocinense
47.5%

Draw
31%

Brasil de Pelotas
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.6%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrocinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brasil de Pelotas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patrocinense - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Patrocinense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brasil de Pelotas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Brasil de Pelotas have a series of home games.

Patrocinense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patrocinense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Serie D
30.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Patrocinense	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Internacional de Limeira - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Patrocinense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Patrocinense - Operário MS	3:0 ✺
02.07.23	FC Cascavel - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWWT
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
30.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Patrocinense	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	São-Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Caxias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
30.07.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Patrocinense	0:0

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