Match Info

Date: 2 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.7
	2.75	2.95	2.7
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.74	3.15	2.9
	2.61	3.22	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)	3.12 ↑ (2.9)	2.75 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
35.7%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Tucumán
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

32.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

32.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	69%	13.8%

Patronato Parana - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 69%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Patronato has the most likely position - 19 (7.81%), has project points - 35, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atlético Tucumán has the most likely position - 1 (37.6%), has project points - 49, has currently - 41, has a chance of win league (38%).

This event has quality 33, importance 50, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1.

Recent matches Patronato is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Tucumán is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Patronato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Patronato: Alvarez F. (Injury) Vazquez F. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Patronato won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Copa Argentina
28.09.22	Patronato Parana - River Plate	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.09.22	Defensa y Justicia - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
20.09.22	Patronato Parana - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
13.09.22	Racing - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Patronato Parana - Platense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLTLW
- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.09.22	Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1 ✺
19.09.22	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
15.09.22	Atlético Tucumán - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	San Lorenzo - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
05.09.22	Atlético Tucumán - Banfield	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.03.22	Atlético Tucumán - Patronato Parana	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.10.21	Atlético Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.03.21	Atlético Tucumán - Patronato Parana	4:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.10.19	Atlético Tucumán - Patronato Parana	2:0
04.02.19	Patronato Parana - Atlético Tucumán	3:0
22.09.17	Patronato Parana - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
26.06.17	Patronato Parana - Atlético Tucumán	1:1

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