Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Loustau P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Patronato Parana		River Plate

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.8
	4.2	3.7	1.77
	4.5	3.65	1.8
	4	3.7	1.78
	4.37	3.86	1.83
	4.3	3.84	1.76	Watch
	4	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.54)	3.74 (3.74)	1.79 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
22.3%

Draw
25.1%

River Plate
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

26.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	8.3%	70.8%

Patronato Parana - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). River Plate will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 52.6% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Patronato has the most likely position - 15 (9.34%), has project points - 35, has currently - 31, has not chance of win league.

River Plate has the most likely position - 3 (21.07%), has project points - 46, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has quality 41, small importance 14, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

There will not play in Patronato: Alvarez F. (Injury) Vazquez F. (Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Aliendro R. (Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Injury) Rojas R. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.22	Colón - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Patronato Parana - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
28.09.22	Patronato Parana - River Plate	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.09.22	Defensa y Justicia - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
20.09.22	Patronato Parana - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LWWLT
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.22	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	5:0 ✺
02.10.22	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	0:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
28.09.22	Patronato Parana - River Plate	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.09.22	River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	San Lorenzo - River Plate	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
28.09.22	Patronato Parana - River Plate	3:2 penalties
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.02.22	River Plate - Patronato Parana	4:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.11.21	River Plate - Patronato Parana	5:0

Upcoming Matches