The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 41.5%
Draw 29.3%
Patronato Parana 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.3%
28%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
27.3%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patronato Parana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.6%
36.8%
10.5%
Defensa y Justicia - Patronato Parana Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 30.1% – 75.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Defensa y Justicia has the most likely position - 21 (6.94%), has project points - 35, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Patronato has the most likely position - 15 (6.45%), has project points - 36, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality35, very small importance1, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 4.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Defensa y Justicia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Defensa y Justicia will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.
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