Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33
	1.93	3.1	3.8
	1.91	3.1	4.4
	2.04	3.01	4.47
	1.95	2.88	4.2
	2	3.08	4.3
	2	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.94)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
47.4%

Draw
30.4%

Almirante Brown
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

31.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	12.5%	4.2%

Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: Patronato Parana will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Ruiz M. 2. Gonzalez C. 6. Diaz G. 3. Cobos F. 8. Gonzalez K. 5. Domingo N. (C) 7. Vazquez F. 11. Esquivel J. 10. Sosa A. 9. Diaz E.	1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Mino F. 2. Dattola A. 6. Barrionuevo A. 3. Zacaria J. 7. Abreliano M. 5. Moreno C. 8. Santiago M. 10. Garcia D. (C) 9. Rivero G. 11. Escurra J. L.
Substitutes
17. Barinaga J. 13. Geminiani L. 14. Kruspzky L. 20. Levato M. 18. Novero G. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 19. Russo I. 16. Solis N. 15. Valdez J.	20. Bazan N. 14. Cesar L. 12. Ferreyra N. (G) 13. Ledesma D. 15. Leguizamon L. 18. Mino B. 19. Pascual L. 17. Stable Facundo N. 16. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Graciani G.	Pinto G.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Patronato is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Almirante Brown is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almirante Brown could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Patronato is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.06.23	FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana	5:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.06.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
28.05.23	Patronato Parana - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.23	Patronato Parana - Olimpia Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.06.23	San Telmo - Almirante Brown	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Temperley - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	3:0 ✺
13.05.23	Almirante Brown - All Boys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.14	Almirante Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0
03.11.13	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:0
17.06.13	Almirante Brown - Patronato Parana	1:2
03.02.13	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:0

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