Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 38

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Cordoba C. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Guillermo Brown		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.63
	2.8	2.95	2.5
	2.9	2.9	2.55
	2.96	2.95	2.54
	2.98	2.92	2.58	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.6
	2.79	2.91	2.58
	2.9	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.78)	2.9 ↓ (2.99)	2.57 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
32%

Draw
31.9%

Patronato Parana
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

31.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

31.8%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soria M. (G) 2. Bazzana N. 11. Fernandez M. 7. Galeano M. 10. Machado C. 5. Marin F. 8. Perez R. 3. Pinto M. 6. Riquelme R. D. 9. Sandoval H. 4. Werro V.	1. Salva J. (G) 4. Asis G. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Dening E. 2. Diaz G. 7. Maciel E. 3. Martinez D. 8. Pereyra V. L. 10. Perotti J. 5. Turraca G.
Substitutes
17. Alvarez B. 15. Gonzalez E. 16. Gorgerino C. 13. Herranz N. 19. Luayza M. 14. Martinez E. 20. Moreno M. 18. Silva A. 12. Velazquez F. (G)	17. Barinaga J. 12. Chaves I. (G) 19. Gonzalez A. 20. Meynier M. 15. Picco A. R. 16. Purita E. 14. Sosa B. 13. Varela J. 18. Villarreal R. V.
Coaches
Rolle M.	Pozo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Galeano M. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
17', Pinto M. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Bonansea A. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Dening E. ⚽,
37', Perotti J. 🟨,
40', Turraca G. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
45+3', Bellatti S. D. N. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 2, Sandoval H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Perez R. ↓, Luayza M. ↑,
65', Maciel E. ↓, Barinaga J. ↑,
68', Sandoval H. 🟨,
69', Marin F. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
69', Pinto M. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
75', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
80', Asis G. 🟨,
82', Perotti J. ↓, Purita E. ↑,
83', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Villarreal R. V. ↑,
84', Machado C. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Bonansea A. ⚽,

Preview

Guillermo Brown has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Patronato is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guillermo Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.2:0.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.10.24	Tristán Suárez - Guillermo Brown	3:2 ✺
13.10.24	Guillermo Brown - All Boys	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Deportivo Madryn - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.10.24	Patronato Parana - San Martín de San Juan	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Patronato Parana - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Chacarita Juniors - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Patronato Parana - Estudiantes de Caseros	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.06.24	Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown	0:0
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0
04.02.23	Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown	0:0
23.09.15	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	1:1
06.05.15	Patronato Parana - Guillermo Brown	0:0

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