Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.8
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.1	2.9	4
	2.16	2.87	4.27
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.05	3.2	3.88
	2.1	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.03)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)	3.79 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
44.4%

Draw
30.9%

Deportivo Flandria
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.2%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Guillermo Brown have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Flandria will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 16 and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Guillermo Brown could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guillermo Brown will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Guillermo Brown won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.23	San Martín de San Juan - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
22.04.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Guillermo Brown - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLTW
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.05.23	Deportivo Flandria - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Club Almagro - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Telmo	1:4 ✺
24.04.23	Temperley - Deportivo Flandria	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Deportivo Flandria - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.03.22	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	1:0
08.10.17	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	3:0
23.05.17	Deportivo Flandria - Guillermo Brown	0:0
11.09.16	Guillermo Brown - Deportivo Flandria	0:1

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