Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	21:00	ESPN 2


	Atlético Nacional		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.5
	1.58	3.95	6
	1.6	4	6.15
	1.5	3.6	5.5
	1.57	4.05	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	3.88 ↓ (4.41)	5.72 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
59.4%

Draw
24.2%

Patronato Parana
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

21.1%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Nacional - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Nacional will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mier K. (G) 32. Ocampo E. 42. Castro C. 16. Mosquera S. (C) 13. Torres Patino J. P. 4. Salazar A. 31. Palacios Alzate B. 5. Duque J. 30. Solis Romero J. E. 11. Jader 37. Asprilla Moreno J.	1. Salva J. (G) 4. Geminiani L. 23. Ruiz M. 13. Ojeda S. (C) 30. Kruspzky L. 15. Vazquez F. 8. Arce D. 7. Esquivel J. 28. Solis N. 29. Gonzalez C. 9. Diaz E.
Substitutes
21. Angel Gutierrez T. 77. Angulo A. 36. Arias J. J. 17. Blanco C. 1. Castillo H. (G) 26. Deossa N. 18. Goez Y. 28. Mena Y. 14. Murillo E. 24. Pena G. 22. Perea O. 33. Velasquez S.	18. Aruga M. 16. Barinaga J. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 27. Budino M. (G) 20. Caceres T. 25. Gonzalez K. 34. Levato M. 14. Nievas B. 11. Novero G. 32. Russo I. 10. Valdez J.
Coaches
Autuori P.	Graciani G.

Preview

Recent matches Atlético Nacional is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Patronato is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
24.06.23	Millonarios - Atlético Nacional	2:1 penalties ✺
21.06.23	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
17.06.23	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Pasto	3:2 ✺
12.06.23	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.06.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWTL
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Patronato Parana - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Patronato Parana - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Guillermo Brown - Patronato Parana	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.06.23	FBC Melgar - Patronato Parana	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	Patronato Parana - Atlético Nacional	1:2

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