The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Patronato Parana 33.8%
Draw 32.9%
San Miguel 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
29.7%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
28.8%
27.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patronato Parana's form might have worsened.
San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
18.7%
6.2%
Patronato Parana - San Miguel Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 12 - 75%). San Miguel will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 8 - 72.7%). San Miguel (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Patronato (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Patronato (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Patronato (votes: 10 - 76.9%). San Miguel (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Chaves I. (G) 2. Diaz G. 6. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Asis G. 4. Rueda M. 8. Barinaga J. 5. Gallucci S. 10. Pereyra V. L. 7. Castro F. 9. Bonansea A. 11. Marcioni J.
1. Sappa D. (G) 4. D. Renteria 2. Parnisari E. 6. Cardozo F. (C) 3. Grance I. 8. Sena F. 5. Juarez J. 7. Ferrero J. 11. Antunes I. 9. Lavezzi A. 10. Dening E.
Substitutes
20. Barolin J. 13. Diaz F. N. 17. Moreno E. 14. Navas J. 16. Nievas B. 19. Pardo M. 12. Peralta A. 15. Picco A. R. 18. Sombra A.
16. Almada A. 13. Ihitz N. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 19. Mosca C. 17. Nasta B. 14. Rojas M. 18. Salto C. 20. Sosa D. 15. Turraca G.
Coaches
Gomez G.
Coleoni G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Castro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lavezzi A. ↓, Nasta B. ↑,
46', Ferrero J. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
50', 🟨,
54', Salto C. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Nasta B. ⚽,
66', Pereyra V. L. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Castro F. ⚽,
73', Parnisari E. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
74', Sena F. ↓, Sosa D. ↑,
76', Gallucci S. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
77', Castro F. ↓, Diaz F. N. ↑,
81', Juarez J. ↓, Almada A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Argentina
Watch
#ad
Chaves I. (G) 
D. Renteria 
