Match Info

Date: 4 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport


	Patronato Parana		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.37
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.25	3.05	2.25
	3.1	3	2.26
	3.38	3.2	2.35
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.22	3.22	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.75)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	2.3 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
28.9%

Draw
30.2%

Vélez Sársfield
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patronato Parana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Patronato has the most likely position - 23 (100%), has project points - 25, has currently - 25, has not chance of win league.

Vélez has the most likely position - 5 (100%), has project points - 39, has currently - 39, has not chance of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patronato won 0.

Recent matches Patronato is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vélez in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Patronato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Patronato: Guasone J. (Injury) Mansilla M. (Injury) Ojeda S. (Injury) Pardo M. G. (Injury) Vazquez F. (Injury)

There will not play in Vélez: Caseres S. (Injury) Jara L. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Copa Argentina
12.05.22	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.22	Defensa y Justicia - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
29.04.22	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia La Plata	0:6 ✺
23.04.22	San Lorenzo - Patronato Parana	1:2 ✺
20.04.22	Patronato Parana - Racing	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWL
- Vélez Sársfield
Copa Libertadores
24.05.22	Vélez Sársfield - Estudiantes La Plata	4:0 ✺
18.05.22	Nacional Montevideo - Vélez Sársfield	2:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.22	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.22	Vélez Sársfield - Tigre	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.12.21	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	1:0
05.12.20	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	0:0
16.11.20	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.12.19	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	0:1
10.12.18	Patronato Parana - Vélez Sársfield	3:3
10.02.18	Vélez Sársfield - Patronato Parana	0:2

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