Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 28

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.6
	2.3	2.95	3.1
	2.25	2.95	3.45
	2.37	2.98	3.49
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.3	3.15	3.28
	2.3	2.95	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)	2.98 ↓ (3.07)	3.34 (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
40.7%

Draw
31.3%

Deportivo Morón
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.2%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Vazquez F. 2. Ojeda S. 6. Valdez J. 3. Domingo N. 8. Arce D. 5. Cobos F. 7. Barinaga J. 11. Novero G. 10. Diaz E. 9. Solis N.	1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Coronel M. 6. Gomez A. 3. Henry N. 8. Berterame G. 5. Ferreira P. 10. Orosco B. 11. Kubiszyn S. 7. Garcia F. 9. Sala S. G.
Substitutes
12. Budino M. (G) 16. Caceres T. 13. Gonzalez C. 15. La Mastra M. 20. Miro A. 17. Pereyra V. L. 14. Ruiz M. 18. Russo I. 19. Sosa A.	17. Caceres P. 15. Calderon P. 14. Galli E. 20. Ledesma M. I. 19. Lopez F. 12. Rojas J. (G) 18. Salega G. 13. Schonfeld M. 16. Ubeda S.
Coaches
de Paoli R.	Nardozza F.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Patronato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Morón is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Patronato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Patronato will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patronato won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.07.23	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	Patronato Parana - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.07.23	Patronato Parana - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.07.23	Patronato Parana - Botafogo RJ	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTWL
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:2 ✺
22.07.23	Alvarado - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Morón	4:0 ✺
01.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.04.23	Deportivo Morón - Patronato Parana	0:1
Copa Argentina
12.05.22	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	2:0
01.06.17	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	0:2

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