Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Vincent T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pau		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.20	2.80	Watch
	2.40	3.20	2.90
	2.18	3.15	3.30	Watch
	2.44	3.18	3.23
	2.32	3.37	2.99	Watch
	2.35	3.10	3.20
	2.38	3.30	2.89	Watch
	2.34	3.20	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
40%

Draw
29.1%

Sochaux
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Pau - Sochaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Sochaux will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pau (1.34) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 1 - 50%). Sochaux (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maubleu B. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 29. Paquiez G. 23. Briancon A. (C) 4. Dodote A. 97. Abdallah A. 6. Fall C. 21. Benet J. 5. Rajot L. 9. Leye B. 7. Benali H.	40. Jeannin M. (G) 26. N'Gatta E. 14. Peybernes M. (C) 97. Agouzoul S. 3. Gomis D. 21. Diawara B. 23. Masson J. 77. Nomel L. 5. Baghdadi S. 10. Fofana B. 9. Djoco K.
Substitutes
8. Basse S. 10. Brahimi B. 27. Gadegbeku L. 11. Lefebvre A. 22. Mimb Baheng R. 14. Openda R. 19. Saettel T. 30. Salles E. (G) 39. Tourraine M.	8. Bayanginisa H. 91. Clairicia M. 11. Deedson L. 7. Gomel B. 15. Mexique J. 33. Mouyema N. K. 30. Pierre A. (G) 42. Tavares D. 17. Youssouf B.
Coaches
Debes T.	Hognon V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Baghdadi S. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Rajot L. ⚽,
30', Debes T. 🟨,
30', Hognon V. 🟨,
34', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Agouzoul S. 🟨,
56', Nomel L. ↓, Gomel B. ↑,
56', Baghdadi S. ↓, Youssouf B. ↑,
65', Gomis D. ↓, Tavares D. ↑,
65', Fofana B. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Clairicia M. ⚽, Youssouf B. (A),
68', Rajot L. ↓, Gadegbeku L. ↑,
72', Leye B. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
72', Fall C. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
82', Djoco K. ↓, Mexique J. ↑,
82', Pouilly T. ↓, Tourraine M. ↑,
82', Briancon A. ↓, Mimb Baheng R. ↑,
90+5', Tourraine M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1.

Recent form of Pau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sochaux has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pau might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Pau: Daubin Q. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Versini G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sochaux: Bayanginisa H. (Inactive) Cortes E. (Inactive) Gomel B. (Inactive) Lobry V. (Inactive) Vetro J. (Inactive) Vitelli A. (Inactive) Youssouf B. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Sochaux: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4:5	-1	10
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Pau - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.78%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
28.08.26	Rodez - Pau	2:2 ✺
21.08.26	Pau - Nancy	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Dijon - Pau	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Pau - Annecy	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Pau - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWLL
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
28.08.26	Clermont - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Sochaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Red Star - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sochaux - Saint-Étienne	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Sochaux - Dijon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Sochaux - Pau	2:3
20.08.22	Pau - Sochaux	0:3
22.04.22	Pau - Sochaux	0:1
03.12.21	Sochaux - Pau	2:1
17.04.21	Sochaux - Pau	1:1
15.12.20	Pau - Sochaux	0:0

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