Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 15

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Paysandú		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.90	2.15
	3.15	3.05	2.1
	3.03	3.11	2.35
	3.28	3.12	2.25	Watch
	3	3.05	2.3
	2.81	3.12	2.55
	2.95	2.95	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3.02)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)	2.28 (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandú
30%

Draw
30%

River Plate Montevideo
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Paysandú - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3).

Recent performances by Paysandú have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

River Plate is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

River Plate might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paysandú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	River Plate	21	8	6	7	31:26	5	30
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Paysandú	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Paysandú - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Colón Montevideo - Paysandú	2:3 ✺
13.07.26	Paysandú - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	River Plate Montevideo - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Tacuarembó - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Uruguay Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	River Plate Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.05.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	1:0
26.04.26	River Plate Montevideo - Paysandú	2:1

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