Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 16

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Referee: Goncalves K. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Paysandu		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.8	3	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.87
	2.58	2.82	3
	2.7	2.84	3.17
				Watch
	2.6	2.88	3
	2.66	2.8	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.46)	2.84 ↓ (2.88)	3.02 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
36%

Draw
33%

Atlético Goianiense
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

32.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	57.1%	0%

Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 21. Bryan Borges 6. Thalisson 5. Novillo J. 16. Reverson 25. Ronaldo Henrique 28. Leandro Vilela 20. Denner 77. Rossi (C) 99. Vinicius Faria 10. Mauricio Garcez	1. Vitor P. (G) 2. Matheus Felipe 3. Alix Vinicius 4. Heron 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Willian Maranhao (C) 8. Ham E. 10. Kauan Rodrigues 7. Marcelinho 9. Caio Dantas 11. Cruz A.
Substitutes
29. Anderson Leite 8. Andre Lima 92. Benitez J. 2. Edilson 30. Marcelinho 11. Marlon Douglas 13. Matheus Nogueira (G) 35. Mauricio Antonio 94. Patric Calmon 27. Ramon Martinez 44. Thiago Heleno 26. Wendel	15. Castro 13. Conrado 19. Kelvin 12. Leo Rosa (G) 16. Luizao 14. Pedro Henrique 17. Robert Conceicao 20. Sandro Lima 18. Shaylon
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', Matheus Felipe 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Marcelinho ⚽, Ham E. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Rossi ⚽, Mauricio Garcez (A),
45+8', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,
45+10', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
45+11', 1 - 2, Marcelinho (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vinicius Faria ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
46', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
47', 2 - 2, Anderson Leite ⚽, Reverson (A),
52', Rossi ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
59', Caio Dantas ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
59', Cruz A. ↓, Kelvin ↑,
66', Marcelinho 🟨,
66', Denner ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
67', Heron ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
69', Guilherme Romao 🟨,
78', Guilherme Romao ↓, Conrado ↑,
78', Marcelinho ↓, Shaylon ↑,
78', Bryan Borges ↓, Edilson ↑,
86', Thalisson 🟨,
90+6', Pedro Henrique 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Atlético GO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Paysandu: Benitez J. (Inactive) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edilson (Inactive) Edinho (Knee Injury) Luan Freitas (Yellow Cards) Matheus Vargas (Inactive) Patric Calmon (Inactive) Quintana Y. (Injury) Rossi (Inactive)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Wallace (Inactive)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Delvalle P. (Ankle Injury) Diogo Oliveira (Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético GO: Anderson (Inactive) Jorginho (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
05.07.25	Avaí - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Paysandu - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Remo - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Paysandu - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
06.06.25	Cuiabá - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWWL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
03.07.25	Atlético Goianiense - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Atlético Goianiense - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.11.18	Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense	2:5
31.07.18	Atlético Goianiense - Paysandu	1:0
14.10.16	Atlético Goianiense - Paysandu	2:1
24.06.16	Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
03.10.15	Atlético Goianiense - Paysandu	2:1
30.06.15	Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
21.09.13	Paysandu - Atlético Goianiense	0:0

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