Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 34

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Paysandu		Avaí

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.05	2.78
	2.47	3.25	3.04
	2.69	3.04	2.60	Watch
	2.54	3.04	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.69)	3.09 ↑ (3.04)	2.75 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
36.1%

Draw
30.1%

Avaí
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Paysandu - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matheus Nogueira (C) 2. Edilson 6. Thalisson 44. Thiago Heleno 16. Reverson 25. Ronaldo Henrique 8. Andre Lima 20. Denner 26. Wendel 30. Marcelinho 11. Marlon Douglas	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 95. Jonathan Costa 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 33. Mario Sergio 8. Joao Vitor 98. JP 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 41. Thayllon 99. Cleber 94. Emerson Negueba
Substitutes
29. Anderson Leite 38. Carlos Eduardo 12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 39. Goncalves P. 36. Gustavo Nicola 22. Joao Marcos 94. Kaua Hinkel 34. Lucca Carvalho 35. Mauricio Antonio 19. Petterson Novaes 43. Ramon Vinicius 99. Vinicius Faria	36. DG 20. Gaspar 7. Hygor 16. Jamerson 9. Juninho 32. Leo Reis 58. Lucas Eduardo 21. Otavio Passos (G) 34. Wanderson
Coaches
Marcio Fernandes	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Jonathan Costa ⚽, Joao Vitor (A),
26', 0 - 2, Thayllon ⚽, Marcos Vinicius (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Denner ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
46', Ronaldo Henrique ↓, Goncalves P. ↑,
46', JP ↓, Jamerson ↑,
46', Andre Lima ↓, Petterson Novaes ↑,
47', Goncalves P. 🟨,
50', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
64', Thayllon ↓, DG ↑,
64', Marcelinho ↓, Ramon Vinicius ↑,
75', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
76', Emerson Negueba 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Marlon Douglas (Pen),
82', Emerson Negueba ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
82', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Wanderson ↑,
89', Wendel ↓, Vinicius Faria ↑,
89', DG 🟨,
90+1', Jonathan Costa ↓, Lucas Eduardo ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Paysandu: Bryan Borges (Injury) Diogo Oliveira (Injury) Dudu Vieira (Inactive) Edinho (Inactive) Matheus Vargas (Injury) Mauricio Antonio (Inactive) Rossi (Inactive)

There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Inactive) Andrey (Injury) Igor Bohn (Injury) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)

There are questionable in Paysandu: Anderson Leite (Ankle Injury) Leandro Vilela (Injury)

There are questionable in Avaí: Quaresma (Ankle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paysandu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie B
20.10.25	Ferroviária - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
14.10.25	Paysandu - Remo	2:3 ✺
07.10.25	Botafogo SP - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Paysandu - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Criciúma - Paysandu	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLLTW
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
19.10.25	Avaí - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	1:1 ✺
08.10.25	Avaí - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
07.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.25	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.07.25	Avaí - Paysandu	0:0
22.08.24	Avaí - Paysandu	1:0
03.05.24	Paysandu - Avaí	0:0
07.09.18	Paysandu - Avaí	2:1
25.05.18	Avaí - Paysandu	3:1
30.09.16	Avaí - Paysandu	2:0
14.06.16	Paysandu - Avaí	1:0

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