Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 32

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, RedeTV!


	Athletico Paranaense		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.6	6	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.7
	1.64	3.75	6.33
	1.59	3.58	6.18	Watch
	1.61	3.62	5.68	Watch
	1.55	3.75	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)	5.94 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
58.6%

Draw
25.7%

Avaí
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.9%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Athletico Paranaense - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Santos (C) 29. Benavidez G. 13. Teran C. 33. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 65. Arthur Dias 61. Leo Derik 10. Zapelli B. 53. Dudu Kogitzki 19. Luiz Fernando 21. Leozinho 9. Viveros K.	31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 95. Jonathan Costa 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 36. DG 77. Ze Ricardo 98. JP 8. Joao Vitor 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 33. Mario Sergio 99. Cleber
Substitutes
27. Alan Kardec 5. Felipinho 6. Fernando 8. Giuliano 57. Joao Cruz 20. Julimar 3. Leo 22. Madson 17. Mendoza S. 1. Mycael (G) 88. Patrick 31. Raul	3. Anderson Jesus 20. Gaspar 7. Hygor 16. Jamerson 9. Juninho 58. Lucas Eduardo 21. Otavio Passos (G) 2. Railan 41. Thayllon
Coaches
Hellmann O.	Vinicius Bergantin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', DG 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Joao Vitor ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↓, Julimar ↑,
46', Luiz Fernando ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
50', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Julimar (Pen),
63', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
63', DG ↓, Gaspar ↑,
73', Leozinho ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
75', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
76', JP ↓, Hygor ↑,
86', Cleber ↓, Thayllon ↑,
90+1', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
90+6', Teran C. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.

In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Avaí is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Athletico PR is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Hamstring Injury) Isaac (Inactive) Teran C. (Inactive) Velasco K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Inactive) Andrey (Injury) Emerson Negueba (Yellow Cards) Igor Bohn (Injury) Quaresma (Ankle Injury) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)

There are questionable in Athletico PR: Julimar (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B
09.10.25	Remo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWW
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
08.10.25	Avaí - Volta Redonda	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
07.10.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.25	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
01.10.25	Avaí - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:5 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.25	Avaí - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.06.25	Avaí - Athletico Paranaense	1:2
Brazilian Serie A
11.09.22	Avaí - Athletico Paranaense	1:1
22.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	2:1
Copa do Brasil
09.06.21	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	1:0
03.06.21	Avaí - Athletico Paranaense	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.19	Avaí - Athletico Paranaense	0:0
15.09.19	Athletico Paranaense - Avaí	0:1

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