Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Serrinha (Goiania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Goiás		Coritiba

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.7	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.17	2.95	3.7
	2.25	3	3.83
	2.21	2.9	3.73
	2.15	2.88	3.9
	2.22	2.96	3.68	Watch
	2.17	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.03)	2.94 ↓ (3.31)	3.73 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goiás
43%

Draw
31.9%

Coritiba
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

27.4%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Goiás - Coritiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Tadeu (C) 20. Diego Caito 75. Messias 14. Lucas Ribeiro 97. Willean Lepo 77. Marcao Silva 28. Juninho 8. Rafael Gava 30. Welliton 9. Anselmo Ramon 17. Pedrinho	12. Pedro Rangel (G) 20. Alex Silva 15. Guilherme Vargas 26. Bruno Melo 73. Zeca 8. Filipe Machado 19. Gomez S. (C) 70. Wallisson 10. Josue 11. Lucas Ronier 91. Gustavo Coutinho
Substitutes
4. Anthony 45. Arthur Caike 55. Baldoria 31. Barcelo F. 66. Danilo Cunha 5. Freitas G. 7. Jaja 3. Luiz Felipe 32. Rodrigo Andrade 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 22. Vitinho 27. Vitor Hugo	67. Benassi (G) 27. de Pena C. 22. Felipe Guimaraes 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 5. Geovane 16. Joao Almeida 9. Junior Brumado 3. Maicon 7. Nicolas Careca 97. Ruan Assis 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Marcao Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Wallisson ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Rafael Gava ⚽, Diego Caito (A),
73', Zeca ↓, Joao Almeida ↑,
73', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Junior Brumado ↑,
77', Marcao Silva ↓, Rodrigo Andrade ↑,
77', Welliton ↓, Freitas G. ↑,
82', Lucas Ronier ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
82', Gomez S. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
87', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Goiás is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Goiás: Aloisio (Inactive) Garcia E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Coritiba: Dellatorre (Inactive) Everaldo (Inactive) Mozart (Red Card) Nicolas Careca (Injury) Pedro Morisco (Inactive)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Rodrigo Moledo (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Goiás won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Goiás won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
05.05.25	Goiás - Avaí	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Botafogo SP - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
23.04.25	Goiás - Paysandu	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
20.04.25	América Mineiro - Goiás	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Goiás - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLT
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
02.05.25	Ferroviária - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Remo - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
16.04.25	Coritiba - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chapecoense - Coritiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.09.24	Coritiba - Goiás	0:0
16.06.24	Goiás - Coritiba	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
05.11.23	Coritiba - Goiás	0:1
03.07.23	Goiás - Coritiba	1:2
30.07.22	Goiás - Coritiba	1:0
10.04.22	Coritiba - Goiás	3:0
Brazilian Serie B
10.11.21	Goiás - Coritiba	2:1

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