Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV


	Paços de Ferreira		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.6	3.05	2.8
	2.6	3.05	2.8
	2.74	3.17	2.88
	2.6	3	2.88	Watch
	2.63	3.13	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.47)	3.09 ↓ (3.18)	2.81 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (Spanish)

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
35.9%

Draw
30.6%

Estoril Praia
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.5%	50%	22.5%

Paços de Ferreira - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 11 - 27.5%). Estoril will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.5% – 65.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (16.64%), has project points - 34, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Estoril has the most likely position - 14 (8.34%), has project points - 39, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 43, importance 37, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Paços de Ferreira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Estoril have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Silva J. (Injury) Vigario J. (Injury) Ze Uilton (Red Card)

There will not play in Estoril: Africo L. (Knee Injury)

Last 22 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal
15.08.22	Paços de Ferreira - Portimonense	0:3 ✺
08.08.22	Gil Vicente - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:2 ✺
20.07.22	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
13.07.22	Moreirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWT
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
19.08.22	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	2:2 ✺
14.08.22	Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.22	Estoril Praia - Fulham	1:3 ✺
16.07.22	Estoril Praia - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
31.01.22	Estoril Praia - Paços de Ferreira	0:0
23.08.21	Paços de Ferreira - Estoril Praia	1:3
Portuguese League Cup
03.08.19	Paços de Ferreira - Estoril Praia	2:1 penalties
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Paços de Ferreira - Estoril Praia	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
17.03.19	Paços de Ferreira - Estoril Praia	1:1
12.11.18	Estoril Praia - Paços de Ferreira	1:0
Liga Portugal
17.03.18	Estoril Praia - Paços de Ferreira	1:1

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