Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Estoril Praia		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.25	2.30	Watch
	2.90	3.20	2.40
	2.95	3.20	2.38	Watch
	3.00	3.27	2.58
	2.95	3.27	2.45	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.40
	3.10	3.36	2.43	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)	3.26 ↓ (3.53)	2.42 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
31.9%

Draw
29.1%

Famalicão
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Famalicão might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	14.3%	78.6%

Estoril Praia - Famalicão Predictions

Users Predictions: Famalicão will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Robles J. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 4. Ferro 15. Sierra I. 3. Medrano F. 8. Xeka 5. Tsoungui A. 99. Guitane R. 12. Carvalho J. (C) 7. Lacximicant A. 14. Begraoui Y.	25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 3. Realpe L. 4. van Breemen F. 28. Pedro Bondo 6. Van de Looi T. (C) 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias 10. Santos P. 7. Sorriso 70. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
42. Arnolin J. 90. Brito T. 22. Carvalho P. 18. Costa G. 31. Dias D. (G) 98. Garcia F. 80. Gomes L. 6. Jandro 55. Parente T. 17. Peixinho 16. Turk M. (G)	9. Abubakar U. 91. Almeida R. 11. Aranda O. 18. Beney R. 2. Garcia 36. Mattara M. 5. Meyer L. 19. Moreira P. 8. Pena M. 30. Serafimovic V. 21. Szucs T. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Matos V.	Carvalhal C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Koutsias G. ⚽, Gil Dias (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Sanchez R. 🟨,
66', Lacximicant A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
66', Sanchez R. ↓, Carvalho P. ↑,
66', Santos P. ↓, Szucs T. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Begraoui Y. ⚽, Carvalho P. (A),
76', Pinheiro R. 🟨,
77', Sorriso ↓, Beney R. ↑,
77', Gil Dias ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
83', Xeka ↓, Jandro ↑,
83', Koutsias G. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
87', Tsoungui A. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
90+3', Beney R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1.

Estoril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There are questionable in Estoril: Bimai L. (Inactive)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Estoril won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7
18	Estoril	8	0	2	6	4:12	-8	2

Last Results with these Odds

Famalicão - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Belenenses - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Estoril Praia - Torreense	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Alverca - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Braga - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLTT
- FC Famalicão
Como Cup
31.07.26	Famalicão - Como	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Famalicão - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Famalicão - Alverca	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Famalicão - Benfica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
26.04.26	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	0:1
14.12.25	Famalicão - Estoril Praia	4:0
Taça de Portugal
22.11.25	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:2
Liga Portugal
12.04.25	Famalicão - Estoril Praia	3:0
01.12.24	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	2:1
28.04.24	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:0
17.12.23	Famalicão - Estoril Praia	1:1

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