The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peña Balsamaiso 7.2%
Draw 15.1%
Arnedo 77.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.4%
20.7%
65.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.1%
20.2%
67.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.
Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arnedo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arnedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
Peña Balsamaiso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arnedo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Arnedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arnedo is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
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