Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Sant Andreu

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.35	3.2	2.05
	3.51	3.09	2.09
	3.62	3.06	2.09
	3.35	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.09)	3.17 ↓ (3.49)	2.03 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
26.2%

Draw
28.8%

Sant Andreu
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

26.2%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

25.7%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Sant Andreu aligns with the current prediction.

Peña Deportiva - Sant Andreu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Opara L. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Lucas E. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Lucas E. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Barroso V. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Peña Deportiva is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sant Andreu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sant Andreu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.03.25	Cornellà - Peña Deportiva	4:2 ✺
23.03.25	Peña Deportiva - Lleida	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Peña Deportiva - Andratx	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLT
- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.03.25	Sant Andreu - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Mallorca B - Sant Andreu	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Sant Andreu - Elche Ilicitano	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Alzira - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Sant Andreu - Olot	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.11.24	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	0:2
17.03.24	Peña Deportiva - Sant Andreu	1:3
05.11.23	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.09.13	Sant Andreu - Peña Deportiva	2:1

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