Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 20

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Peña Sport		Txantrea

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.95	5.5
	1.48	4.26	5.72
	1.41	4.64	6.15
	1.46	4.15	5.7
	1.4	4.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.27 ↓ (4.29)	5.88 ↓ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
63.1%

Draw
21.4%

Txantrea
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

21.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Peña Sport - Txantrea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 2.

Peña Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Txantrea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Peña Sport is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Sport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.01.26	Pamplona - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Peña Sport - Artajonés	5:2 ✺
04.01.26	Subiza - Peña Sport	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Peña Sport - San Juan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW
- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
24.01.26	Txantrea - Egüés	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Huarte - Txantrea	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cortes - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Izarra - Txantrea	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.09.25	Txantrea - Peña Sport	1:2
29.03.25	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:2
16.11.24	Txantrea - Peña Sport	3:1
13.01.24	Peña Sport - Txantrea	0:0
19.03.23	Peña Sport - Txantrea	4:1
19.11.22	Txantrea - Peña Sport	2:0
11.11.18	Peña Sport - Txantrea	3:0

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