Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 11

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday


	Pelikan Łowicz		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.1
	2.74	3.64	2.13
	2.83	3.55	2.14	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.4)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	2.16 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelikan Łowicz
33.1%

Draw
25.2%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.4%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelikan Łowicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pelikan Łowicz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Pelikan in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pelikan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pelikan won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pelikan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.10.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Unia Skierniewice	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Mławianka Mława	6:0 ✺
02.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTWW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:3 ✺
20.09.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1
08.10.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2
06.12.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	4:0
14.08.19	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	0:5

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