Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 31

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	1.93	3.75	3.2
	2.02	3.55	2.66
	1.99	3.7	3.16	Watch
	2.02	3.48	3.16	Watch
	1.93	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
45.6%

Draw
24.9%

Pelikan Łowicz
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

23.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Świt won 4.

Świt is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pelikan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Świt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Świt won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Świt won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.05.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLWW
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.05.25	GKS Bełchatów - Pelikan Łowicz	3:0 ✺
10.05.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Stomil Olsztyn	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Legia II	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.10.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:3
13.04.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
16.09.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1
17.06.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	3:2
20.11.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:2
11.06.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0
14.11.21	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:3

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