Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Penafiel		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	12
	1.25	5.25	9.5
	1.25	5.5	10
	1.24	5.36	10.75
	1.25	5.13	10.77	Watch
	1.22	5.5	11
	1.26	5.45	11.2	Watch
	1.25	5.5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.16)	5.34 ↓ (6.13)	10.78 ↓ (14.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
74%

Draw
17.4%

SC Lusitânia
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

14.9%

6.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

SC Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Penafiel - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). SC Lusitânia will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 71.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 21. Batista D. 26. Brito D. 3. Fernandes G. 68. Maga 77. Olamilekan Fatai S. 20. Rodrigues T. 15. Silva J. 9. Suker H. 7. Vieira P. 34. Ze Leite	72. Sa D. (G) 14. Amaral A. 52. Azevedo T. 15. Breno T. 2. Derick 18. do Rio P. (C) 50. Jefinho 70. Mosquera D. 10. Rafa Tche 77. Sidney C. 9. Souza N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Sidney C. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Suker H. ⚽,
13', Fernandes G. 🟨,
14', 1 - 2, do Rio P. (Pen),
17', Azevedo T. 🟨,
24', Fernandes G. 🟨,
27', Amaral A. 🟨,
37', Vieira P. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
44', Azevedo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sidney C. ↓, Biai B. ↑,
50', Pereira R. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Ze Leite ⚽,
59', Suker H. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
59', Batista D. ↓, Ewerton ↑,
62', Mosquera D. 🟨,
64', Rafa Tche ↓, Legatheaux A. ↑,
70', Ewerton 🟨,
76', Breno T. 🟨,
76', Olamilekan Fatai S. ↓, Reko ↑,
78', do Rio P. ↓, Isabelinha ↑,
83', Derick ↓, Fontes B. ↑,
90+5', Fontes B. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Ze Leite ↓, Leal J. ↑,
92', Mosquera D. ↓, Cabral G. ↑,
103', Reko 🟨,
105', Silva J. 🟨,
112', Cabral G. 🟨,
114', 2 - 3, Souza N. (Pen),
115', Souza N. 🟨,

Preview

Penafiel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Penafiel is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
12.10.24	Alverca - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Penafiel - Leiria	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Portimonense - Penafiel	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Penafiel - Porto B	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Paços de Ferreira - Penafiel	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWTW
- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
13.10.24	Atlético CP - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	SC Lusitânia - Régua	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	SC Lusitânia - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWW

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