Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal Jose Bento Pessoa (Figueira da Foz)


	Naval		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.25
	2.3	2.93	3.15	Watch
	2.29	3.16	3.06
	2.3	2.8	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	2.99 ↓ (3)	3.15 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naval
40.5%

Draw
30.5%

SB Castelo Branco
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

31.8%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Naval - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

In recent matches, Naval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Naval has had a series of away games.

Naval could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 1:5.3).

Including home match between the teams, Naval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Naval 1893	4	2	0	2	6:4	2	6
8	SB Castelo Branco	4	2	0	2	7:9	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naval
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.01.26	Eléctrico - Naval	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vitória de Sernache - Naval	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Naval - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Lajense - Naval	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mortágua - Naval	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWT
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.01.26	SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Fatima	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Samora Correia - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	SB Castelo Branco - Peniche	5:0 ✺
29.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.08.25	SB Castelo Branco - Naval	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.12.16	Naval - SB Castelo Branco	3:7
Taça de Portugal
04.09.16	SB Castelo Branco - Naval	8:0

Naval - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide