The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus 82.9%
Draw 12.4%
Pennarossa 4.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
76.2%
14.9%
8.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus's performance.
Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Virtus - Pennarossa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Scappini S. ⚽, Amati A. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Zenoni M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 3 - 0, Golinucci A. ⚽, Amati A. (A),
90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 4.
Virtus is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pennarossa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Pennarossa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Virtus is the obvious favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Virtus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).
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