Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Pergolettese		Olbia

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.87	2.5
	2.65	2.75	2.7
	2.75	2.65	2.7
	2.85	2.65	2.55
	3.08	2.79	2.73
	2.7	3	2.62
	2.82	2.99	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.37)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)	2.62 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
32.5%

Draw
32.6%

Olbia
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

22.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pergolettese's form might have worsened.

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olbia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pergolettese - Olbia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Olbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pergolettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.21	Pro Vercelli - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Pergolettese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
17.02.21	Pergolettese - Como	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Grosseto - Pergolettese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLT
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
27.02.21	Lucchese - Olbia	1:1 ✺
24.02.21	Olbia - Pro Sesto	5:0 ✺
21.02.21	Pro Vercelli - Olbia	0:0 ✺
17.02.21	Olbia - Piacenza	2:3 ✺
13.02.21	Livorno - Olbia	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.11.20	Olbia - Pergolettese	1:4
24.11.19	Pergolettese - Olbia	3:0

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