Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Pergolettese		Livorno

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.87
	2.3	2.7	3.3
	2.2	3.15	2.9
	2.27	2.7	3.25
	2.4	2.87	3.5
	2.35	2.8	3.4
	2.28	3.1	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.21)	2.93 ↓ (3.16)	3.19 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pergolettese
40.1%

Draw
31.2%

Livorno
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

20.6%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Livorno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pergolettese - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Recent matches Pergolettese is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Livorno is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pergolettese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pergolettese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.21	Pro Patria - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
17.02.21	Pergolettese - Como	1:2 ✺
07.02.21	Grosseto - Pergolettese	2:2 ✺
03.02.21	Pergolettese - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
30.01.21	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTWL
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.21	Livorno - Renate	0:1 ✺
17.02.21	Novara - Livorno	1:1 ✺
13.02.21	Livorno - Olbia	3:3 ✺
07.02.21	Juventus U23 - Livorno	6:0 ✺
03.02.21	Livorno - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.20	Livorno - Pergolettese	3:2

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