Match Info

Date: 23 December 2020, Wednesday


	Pistoiese		Novara

	1	X	2
	3	2.87	2.4
	2.8	2.7	2.6	Watch
	2.85	2.7	2.6
	2.95	2.6	2.5
	3.24	2.83	2.62
	3.1	2.8	2.5
	3.08	2.75	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.45)	2.75 ↓ (2.96)	2.54 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
30.5%

Draw
33.3%

Novara
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

22.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pistoiese's form might have worsened.

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pistoiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pistoiese - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Novara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.20	Renate - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Lecco - Pistoiese	4:1 ✺
29.11.20	Pistoiese - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
22.11.20	Juventus U23 - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWL
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
20.12.20	Novara - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Pergolettese - Novara	2:0 ✺
09.12.20	Piacenza - Novara	3:3 ✺
06.12.20	Grosseto - Novara	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
27.10.19	Novara - Pistoiese	0:0
17.02.19	Novara - Pistoiese	1:1
21.10.18	Pistoiese - Novara	0:2

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